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cs-401r:assignment-2 [2014/09/12 08:51] ringger |
cs-401r:assignment-2 [2014/09/16 11:51] cs401rpml [Exercises] |
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- | = Bayes Nets = | + | = Probability Theory = |

== Objectives == | == Objectives == | ||

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== Exercises == | == Exercises == | ||

- | Show your work. Be clear and concise. '''This assignment must be typed.''' | + | Show your work. Be clear and concise. '''This assignment must be typed.''' |

# [10 points] Prove that the relationship we call ''conditional independence'' is symmetric. In other words, Prove either (a) or (b) (since they are equivalent), and apply the same [[Proofs|standard of proof]] as in assignment 1: | # [10 points] Prove that the relationship we call ''conditional independence'' is symmetric. In other words, Prove either (a) or (b) (since they are equivalent), and apply the same [[Proofs|standard of proof]] as in assignment 1: | ||

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#* Prove that for binary random variables $X$ and $Y$, the event-level independence $(x^0 \bot y^0)$ implies random-variable independence $(X \bot Y)$. Use the usual standard of proof. | #* Prove that for binary random variables $X$ and $Y$, the event-level independence $(x^0 \bot y^0)$ implies random-variable independence $(X \bot Y)$. Use the usual standard of proof. | ||

#* Give a counterexample for nonbinary variables. | #* Give a counterexample for nonbinary variables. | ||

- | # [20 points] Consider how to sample from a categorical distribution over four colors. Think of a spinner with four regions having probabilities $p_red$, $p_green$, $p_yellow$, and $p_blue$. Write pseudo-code for choosing a sample from this distribution. | + | # [20 points] Consider how to sample from a categorical distribution over four colors. Think of a spinner with four regions having probabilities $p_{red}$, $p_{green}$, $p_{yellow}$, and $p_{blue}$. Write pseudo-code for choosing a sample from this distribution. |

- | # [10 points] Does your pseudo-code scale to a distribution over ten thousand values? If not, rewrite it. If so, say why. | + | # [10 points] Does your pseudo-code scale to run efficiently on a distribution over ten thousand values? If not, rewrite it. If so, say why. |

- | # [20 points] Implement your pseudo-code, run it 100 times, and give the results as a vector of counts over the four colors. | + | # [20 points] Implement your pseudo-code, choose values for the four probabilities on the spinner as parameters to your procedure, and run it 100 times, keeping track of how many times each color shows up. Give the results as a vector of counts over the four colors. |

# [10 points] Normalize your count vector by 100. How does the result compare with your chosen parameters? | # [10 points] Normalize your count vector by 100. How does the result compare with your chosen parameters? | ||

- | # [10 points] Compute the mean and variance of the estimated multinomial distribution you just discovered. | + | # [10 points] Compute the mean and variance of the estimated multinomial distribution you just discovered from your experiment. |

== Report == | == Report == |